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Could U.S. Senator Mark Kelly be the next president?

U.S. Senator Mark Kelly

On Tuesday, U.S. Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona held an exclusive call with VoteVets, which was live-streamed on the VoteVets YouTube channel. Kelly had plenty to say about Donald Trump‘s conduct of his new Iran War, as well as affordability and other issues here at home. Kelly’s high-profile appearance raises the question of whether he wants to run for president, and if so, what his chances are.

Sen. Kelly has an impressive record of service to America. The son of two police officers and member of a military family, he served in the U.S. Navy for 25 years as a test pilot and aviator, earning numerous medals. During Operation Desert Storm (the 1990-91 Gulf War against Iraq), he flew 39 combat missions over Iraq, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. Then Kelly became a NASA space shuttle pilot and commander aboard shuttles Endeavour and Discovery. In 2011, Kelly’s wife, U.S. Rep. Gabby Giffords, was shot in the head and critically wounded by a gunman who killed six people and wounded 12 others in an assassination attempt. During her recovery, she and Mark started Americans for Responsible Solutions (now the Giffords Law Center to Prevent Gun Violence).

In politics, are you a satisfier or a maximizer?

Kamala Harris, target of maximizers

In the psychology field, there is a concept known as being a “satisficer” versus being a “maximizer”. According to The Balanced WorkLife Company, a satisfier (we’re going to use this spelling because it’s much more common) is someone whose:

satisfaction is judged by meeting the standards they have in place. To them time and energy is considered a waste if there is a reasonable option ready for the taking. Satisfi[]ers don’t necessarily have low standards; they can be super picky or want the top brand.

In contrast, according to the company:

Maximizers are satisfied by researching as many options as they can. They sacrifice time and effort into learning as much about the “offer” as possible. They consider all the variations, advantages, and weaknesses. When the decision is final, they then compare it to the choices those around them made. The question on the maximizer’s mind is “Is there something better out there?

In simple terms, we like to think about satisfiers as choosing among the readily available options, and being happy with their best choice, even if they know it’s not perfect. Maximizers, on the other hand, are more like perfectionists, who obsess over every detail, and need everything to be just right. As one can imagine, such perfection is almost never achieved, and as a result, according to the book The Paradox of Choice, as cited by The Balanced WorkLife Company, “maximizers experience significantly less life satisfaction, happiness, optimism, and self-esteem.”

Trump caught cheating at golf, and why it matters

 

Donald Trump just took a taxpayer-funded trip to Scotland to play golf on, and promote, his own course. If that’s not bad enough, he was caught on video blatantly cheating during his round of golf. Here’s the video (Note: there is lots of general commentary after the initial video footage):

Now, some folks might ask, “we already knew he was a cheater, just look at what he’s done to each of his wives?” Or they might simply ask, “so what?” To them, the answer is in the form of a question:

If a Democratic president had done this, what would the Republicans and the mainstream “news” media (redundant, we know) be doing?

You know the answer. They would be running stories about this 24-7. They would extrapolate and ask, “what else does this Democratic president cheat on?” “How can we trust him?” The story, rather than whatever agenda item the president wants it to be, would be the president’s own behavior.

We might even get Republican Congressional hearings.

Instead, we are left with, at minimum, the world’s biggest embarrassment.

YouTube video from Brian Tyler Cohen News. 

The best line of attack for Democrats against Trump

The way to hand Donald Trump a defeat

There are so many areas where Donald Trump and the Republicans are failing, breaking the law, possibly committing treason, or just plain crazy. These include, for example, kowtowing to Russia and ditching our friend Ukraine, voicing plans to take over Greenland for its minerals, pardoning the January 6 terrorists, trying to take over the independent U.S. Postal Service, and much more.

However, following some of these areas closely can require specialized knowledge of various fields, such as international relations or federal government operations. But there is one area of Trump failure that is so simple, anyone can understand it. Moreover, this one area affects all of us:

Are you ready for a 2026 Democratic campaign theme?

2024 Democratic get out the vote effort

It’s no secret that Donald Trump and his administration are going around wrecking the government, as well as many of our protections, from environmental to labor to financial to health, and more. It’s going to be a bad four years not just for Democrats, but for most Republicans, Independents and everyone else. But at least the 2026 midterm elections present a big opportunity for Democrats to take back power, especially in the razor-close U.S. House of Representatives, and thwart some of the very bad things the Republicans are trying to do legislatively.

We already talked about how Democrats can and must unify to win the 2026 midterms. The other thing the Democratic Party will need is an effective, unifying theme on which to campaign. While it’s still very early, some obvious patterns are forming that will lend themselves to such a theme.

The one thing Democrats can do to win the next election

We could have had Kamala Harris as president

When a political party gets defeated in an election, losing not just the White House but Congress as well, it’s natural to do plenty of analyzing and soul-searching about what went wrong, and how to improve it for next time. Thus, in the wake of the Democratic Party’s losses in the 2024 elections (presidency, House and Senate), there have been plenty of articles, online postings and discussions about who or what should be blamed for the results, with options ranging from the “strong anti-incumbent wave” to President Joe Biden to “identity politics,” and much more. Chances are that most Democrats will never agree on one main reason why they lost the election. However, there is one step that all Democratic voters can take to increase the odds of winning the next election:

President Biden warns of “oligarchy.” Will Americans care?

President Joe Biden

On Wednesday night, President Joe Biden delivered his farewell address from the White House Oval Office. Biden touted his accomplishments as President, including rescuing the country from the deadly COVID pandemic and deep recession inherited from Donald Trump, turning the economy around, creating a record number of jobs, strengthening NATO, and, lowering prescription drug prices for millions of seniors. Biden also cited his experience of 50 years of public service to this country. Along those lines, Biden was able to announce that, through his administration’s hard work, Israel and Hamas are reaching a cease-fire agreement that includes the release of hostages.

However, President Biden warned Americans about “the dangerous concentration of power in the hands of a very few ultra wealthy people.” He called this concentration of wealth, power and influence “an oligarchy,” and stated that such oligarchy “threatens our entire democracy.” Biden pointed to the tech field in particular, stating that he feared “the rise of a tech industrial complex that can pose real dangers for our country as well,” especially when it comes to how Americans receive their information:

Americans are being buried under an avalanche of misinformation and disinformation enabling the abuse of power. The free press is crumbling…. Social media is giving up on fact-checking. The truth is smothered by lies told for power and for profit. We must hold the social platforms accountable to protect our children, our families, and our very democracy from the abuse of power. Meanwhile, artificial intelligence is the most consequential technology of our time…. Nothing offers more profound possibilities and risk for our economy, and our security, for society…. But unless safeguards are in place, AI could spawn new threats to our rights, to our way of life, to our privacy….

In this election, forget your fears, and show your signs

Harris Walz yard sign

There have been many anecdotes, as well as reporting, in recent months stating that Democrats are afraid to put up signs or wear merchandise (shirts, hats, pins, etc.) representing their political choices in the 2024 elections. In other cases, Democrats are reporting that their Kamala Harris/Tim Walz and other pro-Democratic or anti-Republican signs are being stolen or destroyed. Similarly, a man was recently arrested for firing shots on three separate occasions at the Democratic Party headquarters in Tempe, Arizona. And last month in Portage County, Ohio, “Sheriff Bruce Zuchowski seemed to encourage his friends and supporters to write down the addresses of people with Democratic yard signs, sparking accusations of voter intimidation.”

Note that there have been very few reports of Democrats destroying or stealing Republican signs or committing other acts of vandalism. It’s almost always the other way around. This is all part of the Republicans’ pattern of thuggery and bullying, even terrorism. We have seen a steady increase in this behavior since the beginning of Donald Trump‘s years in the White House. Recall, for example, the deadly 2017 Charlottesville, VA Nazi march, where “Neo-Nazis, Ku Klux Klansmen and other white supremacists marched through the University of Virginia campus bearing torches and terrorizing students with chants of ‘Blood and soil’ and ‘Jews will not replace us.'”

Did Kamala Harris just top her “Freedom” theme?

Vice President Kamala Harris

During their abbreviated presidential campaign, Vice President Kamala Harris and her running mate, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, have used the “freedom” theme very effectively. In particular, they built on the prior work of President Joe Biden and other leading Democrats, and took “freedom” away from the Republicans. Harris, Walz and other Democrats thus have applied “freedom” to government interference in reproductive rights, gun violence against children in schools, voting rights, and more. The theme worked so well that we didn’t think it could be topped.

But now, weeks before the 2024 elections, Vice President Harris has been leveling a new attack against her opponent, Donald Trump, and it may be even more effective than the “freedom” theme. As was the case with “freedom,” this new attack goes right at a point that Republicans, specifically Donald Trump, have been making for years.

The Trump – Harris presidential debate expectations game

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump to appear together

Vice President Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are holding their first presidential debate tomorrow night on ABC. A number of Democrats are saying that Harris will “wipe the floor” with Trump. Likewise, The New York Times recently published an article entitled “Fear of a ‘mean, bully Trump’ showing up at Harris debate has his advisers on edge.” That is a mistake for a couple of reasons.

First, the proper way to play the debate expectations game is to play down your candidate’s abilities and chances, and play up those of your opponent. Similar to what many sales people will tell you, it’s better to under promise and over deliver than to do the opposite.

Second, while Trump has been increasingly rambling and incoherent at speeches and rallies, there is little wrong with his debate record. In 2016, Trump cleared a large Republican primary field, in large part by dominating the debates, and went on to beat Hillary Clinton in the Electoral College. In 2024, just over six weeks ago, Trump debated President Joe Biden, and the result was Biden leaving the presidential race. Trump’s tactics, which include interruptions, intimidation, lies, childish outbursts, and other breaches of tradition and decorum, arguably work well for him. Indeed, the framing of the above-cited New York Times article raises legitimate questions of whether the paper is trying to game the debate in favor of Trump in advance by lowering expectations for him.

On the flip side, Harris was knocked out of the 2020 Democratic Party primaries early on after several debates. Thus it’s fair to say that those debates did not make her the standout or catapult her into the lead. One could therefore argue that Trump has the debate advantage over Harris.

At best, predicting what will happen in a presidential debate is too speculative. As in war, we really don’t know ahead of time how it might turn out.

Photo by FolsomNatural, used under Creative Commons license. https://is.gd/HBzHpl