
The feeling of many Democrats
According to the polls and predictions, Democrats are expected to win the U.S. House majority in the November 3 midterm elections. The U.S. Senate contest, and the likely margin of victory, is much closer. If the Democrats win the House majority, they will have the power to impeach Donald Trump and other administration officials. However, such impeachment likely will not result in conviction and removal in the Senate. That’s because conviction requires a two-thirds vote, and at best, either party will likely have a very slim Senate majority, or even a tie, beginning in January. This means, even if the House Democratic majority votes to impeach Trump:
–if Republicans keep their Senate majority, they probably won’t even bring the impeachment up for trial
–if there is a 50-50 Senate tie, Republicans will maintain control via their tie-breaking vote for Vice President J D Vance, with the same likely result, i.e. impeachments of Trump and/or his administration officials wont even get a hearing
–if Democrats win a narrow Senate majority, they can bring the impeachment for trial, but it will likely fail to get the 2/3 vote for conviction and removal
These scenarios raise the question whether it is worth it for Democrats to impeach Trump. Kamala Harris recently went on record saying it is not a good plan. She gave two principal reasons:
–“Just because we have limited resources, and I think the energy and the resources need to be put into accountability, need to be put into investigations.”
–“Remember, I was in the Senate for the last go-around, and the votes aren’t there.” [for conviction and removal]
Vice President Harris makes some valid arguments. However, the better choice is to impeach Trump if the facts warrant it upon investigation. Here’s why:










