Are you ready for a 2026 Democratic campaign theme?

2024 Democratic get out the vote effort

It’s no secret that Donald Trump and his administration are going around wrecking the government, as well as many of our protections, from environmental to labor to financial to health, and more. It’s going to be a bad four years not just for Democrats, but for most Republicans, Independents and everyone else. But at least the 2026 midterm elections present a big opportunity for Democrats to take back power, especially in the razor-close U.S. House of Representatives, and thwart some of the very bad things the Republicans are trying to do legislatively.

We already talked about how Democrats can and must unify to win the 2026 midterms. The other thing the Democratic Party will need is an effective, unifying theme on which to campaign. While it’s still very early, some obvious patterns are forming that will lend themselves to such a theme.

The one thing Democrats can do to win the next election

We could have had Kamala Harris as president

When a political party gets defeated in an election, losing not just the White House but Congress as well, it’s natural to do plenty of analyzing and soul-searching about what went wrong, and how to improve it for next time. Thus, in the wake of the Democratic Party’s losses in the 2024 elections (presidency, House and Senate), there have been plenty of articles, online postings and discussions about who or what should be blamed for the results, with options ranging from the “strong anti-incumbent wave” to President Joe Biden to “identity politics,” and much more. Chances are that most Democrats will never agree on one main reason why they lost the election. However, there is one step that all Democratic voters can take to increase the odds of winning the next election:

Don’t be shocked or awed by the next four years

How not to feel

During Donald Trump‘s last White House term, many people woke up each day to some new outrage (e.g., the “family separation policy” that threw kids in cages), and lived in a state of perpetual shock. This time around, not surprisingly, Trump began his first few days in the White House with a number of orders and actions that are similarly hurtful to America. These include, for example:

–Illegally redefining the Constitution’s definition of birthright citizenship to try to declare many natural-born Americans non-citizens;

Ordering thousands of military troops to the Southern border;

Falsely classifying many career U.S. government employees as “political” hires, making them easier to fire, and possibly replace with Republican party apparatchiks;

–Withdrawing the United States from the World Health Organization and the Paris Climate Agreement;

–Eliminating Diversity, Equity and Inclusion (DEI) programs and positions in the federal government;

–Granting pardons and commutations to hundreds of people convicted or prosecuted in the January 6, 2021 insurrection at the U.S. Capitol; and much more.

We know there will be many more such hurtful actions and attempts over the next four years. But we can also decide not to live in a state of shock and awe this time around. One man in the White House, for example, should not change the way we love our friends and family. Nor should it change our vision of what we want for ourselves, our loved ones, and our country.

We can also continue to work toward our goals over the next four years. We can regroup and get ourselves on a more positive, effective political path going forward. That might include, for example, less time focusing on Trump, even when it is to criticize and mock him, since that was not successful in the 2024 elections, and more time concentrating on what we want, and how to get there. And perhaps most importantly, we can regularly pull the plug on increasingly biased “news” reports about what is happening in the White House. Let’s make the next four years about us, not him.

Photo by Alan Levine, used under Creative Commons license. https://is.gd/zWVcp0

 

President Biden warns of “oligarchy.” Will Americans care?

President Joe Biden

On Wednesday night, President Joe Biden delivered his farewell address from the White House Oval Office. Biden touted his accomplishments as President, including rescuing the country from the deadly COVID pandemic and deep recession inherited from Donald Trump, turning the economy around, creating a record number of jobs, strengthening NATO, and, lowering prescription drug prices for millions of seniors. Biden also cited his experience of 50 years of public service to this country. Along those lines, Biden was able to announce that, through his administration’s hard work, Israel and Hamas are reaching a cease-fire agreement that includes the release of hostages.

However, President Biden warned Americans about “the dangerous concentration of power in the hands of a very few ultra wealthy people.” He called this concentration of wealth, power and influence “an oligarchy,” and stated that such oligarchy “threatens our entire democracy.” Biden pointed to the tech field in particular, stating that he feared “the rise of a tech industrial complex that can pose real dangers for our country as well,” especially when it comes to how Americans receive their information:

Americans are being buried under an avalanche of misinformation and disinformation enabling the abuse of power. The free press is crumbling…. Social media is giving up on fact-checking. The truth is smothered by lies told for power and for profit. We must hold the social platforms accountable to protect our children, our families, and our very democracy from the abuse of power. Meanwhile, artificial intelligence is the most consequential technology of our time…. Nothing offers more profound possibilities and risk for our economy, and our security, for society…. But unless safeguards are in place, AI could spawn new threats to our rights, to our way of life, to our privacy….

President Biden talks about global warming and climate change in California fires

Conditions in Southern California now

President Joe Biden, joined by administration officials, gave briefings on Thursday and Friday to go over the federal government’s response to the devastating fires affecting Southern California, specifically the Los Angeles area. During both briefings, Biden mentioned “global warming” and
climate change” as major underlying causes of the fires. For example, on Thursday, Biden stated:

There is, in case you haven’t noticed, there is global warming. It does change weather patterns.

Later in the briefing, Biden said:

All has changed in the weather. Climate change is real, fundamentally altering around the world, not just here but around the world, what’s going on. And we’ve got to adjust to it, we got to adjust to it. And we can. It’s within our power to do it. But we’ve got to acknowledge it to begin with, just acknowledge that there’s a change taking place, that we’re not going to be able to legislate away. It’s real. There is global warming.

On Friday, Biden used similar language, driving home the point that climate change, specifically global warming, is creating conditions that lead to weather disasters like the California fires.

In this case, the weather that President Biden and other officials taking part in these briefings (including California Governor Gavin Newsom) were talking about includes:

–Unprecedented high winds, up to 100 miles per hour in some locations;

–No rain in Southern California this month and very little in the preceding few months, even though it is supposed to be the rainiest part of the year;

–Humidity as low as single digits.

President Biden also suggested during his Friday briefing that America needs to “build back better,” meaning rebuilding destroyed infrastructure in a safer way to avoid further devastation from future weather-related disasters. One example Biden gave was to bury power lines underground. However, such preventive steps are very expensive. It remains to be seen whether the incoming Republican administration and Congressional majorities would agree to spend the money for such prevention, in blue California no less, especially given that they don’t believe in climate change in the first place.

Photo by Lorie Shaull, used under Creative Commons license. https://is.gd/gxyTCC

Republican politics are just easier

The Republicans’ easier-to-use megaphone

In the many differing analyses of the 2024 elections undertaken both by political professionals and amateurs, there appears to be one area of agreement: the Republicans cleaned the Democrats’ clock when it came to communication. There are numerous reasons for this messaging imbalance, and we have discussed them in the past. They include, as a prime example, the Republicans’ vast media machine consisting of Fox “News,” the Washington Post and Los Angeles Times, popular podcasts such as the Joe Rogan Experience, social media platforms such as Twitter (now known as X), terrestrial radio networks like Sinclair, etc.

However, one communications advantage the Republicans have that doesn’t often get discussed is that the Republicans’ job is just easier than that of the Democrats. After the jump, we present some reasons why that is the case:

The great Republican translator machine

We’ve got your Republican Translator right here

We have been talking since Day One about the Republican Party’s vast messaging machine, which encompasses everything from Fox “News” to the Wall Street Journal, NewsMax, and more. Before and during the 2024 elections, we learned that this great propaganda apparatus also includes online platform Twitter (now X), popular podcasts like the Joe Rogan Experience, and sadly, once-respected newspapers like the Washington Post and the Los Angeles Times, now owned by billionaires such as Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos. When Republican politicians including Donald Trump speak, they often merely parrot what the Republican Messaging Machine wants them to say, and vice versa.

Now, however, Democrats can point to a machine of our own. Here at Messaging Matters, we have developed the Great Republican Translator Machine. Whenever a Republican talks, we run what they say through the machine, and out comes the truth of what they really mean. Let’s try some examples:

“We believe in freedom” = “We believe in the heavy hand of government”

“Egg prices are too high” = “I’m a racist”

I’ve never heard of ___” = “I’m heavily involved with ____”

“We’re okay with the rape allegations against Pete Hegseth” = “Those allegations are a feature, not a bug”

“Those immigrants/trans people/blacks/etc. are causing all the problems in this country” = “Look at that shiny object over there while we pick your pockets and harm your health”

“We want judges who will interpret the Constitution” = “We want activist judges who will legislate from the bench”

Government should be run like a business” = “Let’s remove important health, safety and environmental regulations on Big Business”

“We’re pro-life” = “Kids killed in school shootings and women dead from untreated miscarriages are fine with us”

Party of smaller government” = “We want government to invade your bedrooms, your bathrooms and your wombs”

“Rule of Law” = “Republicans are above the law”

“Party of family values” = “Elect a serial liar/cheater/philanderer/felon/rapist”

Do you have any other Republican statements that need translating? Please send them in your comments, and we will add them to the list.

Photo by Jim Linwood, used under Creative Commons license. https://is.gd/CaDwHd

 

 

 

Will Republicans join the resistance?

Would Republicans do this?

After the 2024 election debacle and the prospect of an anti-American dictatorship, Democrats are trying to figure out ways that they can peacefully resist, indeed survive, the next four years. For example, many Democrats have dumped their Twitter (now X) accounts since the election, as platform owner Elon Musk lurched to the right, helped Donald Trump, and appears to have landed a cozy spot in the next administration. Others are talking about purchasing items that are manufactured overseas, such as appliances, computers, clothing and cars, now to avoid the planned Trump tariffs that everyone knows will raise prices and increase inflation. Plenty of discussions reportedly are taking place among Democrats regarding other steps they can adopt, including boycotts, protests, organizing, communicating better, lobbying their members of Congress, advancing their agenda in blue states, filing lawsuits, and more.

But the really interesting question is going to be whether Republicans join Democrats and independents in acts of resistance against some of Trump’s agenda. While that may sound crazy given the full (sometimes violent) support of the MAGA base, there are many Republicans who may have an interest in keeping things more normal than the radical changes that Trump and his team plan for 2025 and beyond, as reflected in Project 2025. This includes, for example:

–Corporate owners and executives who do not want Trump’s tariffs raising their costs, which they would have to pass on to customers.

–Farm and other business owners who don’t want their cheap labor to be deported.

–Drug company owners and executives who are unhappy about COVID vaccines and other pharmaceutical products being disfavored, or maybe even banned, if Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. becomes Secretary of Health and Human Services.

–Workers, owners and executives in the rapidly growing renewable energy field (solar power, wind power, etc.), who may be less than thrilled about the likelihood of severe cutbacks to government promotion and assistance to those industries, such as that found in President Joe Biden‘s Inflation Reduction Act.

Now, it may be too much to ask that such Republicans would actually join Democrats in some formal or powerful resistance to Trump administration policies. But one can easily see Republican pushback in ways they know how to do, such as lawsuits, lobbying, or other behind-the-scenes efforts. It would not be surprising, therefore, if the most extreme parts of the planned Trump agenda end up in choppy waters, subject at least to delays.

Photo by Vince, used under Creative Commons license. https://is.gd/J1bMmW

Trump’s Department of Government Efficiency with Elon Musk — failure or fearful?

Disciplined enough to run the federal government?

Earlier this week, Donald Trump announced that he would create a new Department of Government Efficiency when he gets into the White House next year. Trump stated that this agency would be led by Elon Musk and businessman turned Republican presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy. First of all, it seems comically ironic that (a) an entire new government department would be created to show how to make government more efficient, and (b) it would need to be headed by two people instead of one. So much for Republicans claiming for decades that they are “the party of smaller government.”

Along with that funny part, if it were to be a true Cabinet-level department (Defense, Education, Justice, etc.), or a federal agency (Federal Communications Commission, Environmental Protection Agency, etc.), generally this Department of Government Efficiency would need to be created and funded by Congress. That could take a long time, and run into many objections and amendments. So more likely, it would be an “Office” or some other Executive Branch or White House creation well below the Cabinet Department level.

If that happens, some folks might not take this office seriously. However, a quick look at a similar office from a few decades ago might indicate that a Government Efficiency Office, Agency or Board could have real power and do real damage. Specifically, in 1989, President George H.W. Bush created the Council on Competitiveness, and put Vice President Dan Quayle in charge of it. This innocuous-sounding Council was described as having “responsibility for reducing the regulatory burden on the economy.”  Essentially it was a White House back door for Republican corporate executives and lobbyists to come in with deregulatory wish lists, from environmental rules to health and safety rules and more.

The council worked closely with the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA) in the Office of Management and Budget to carry out OMB’s regulatory review and the development of the regulatory program.

Not every destructive government action requires Congress to legislate. A lot of good or bad can be done in the process to implement, or repeal, rules and regulations that govern much of our lives. It is no secret that the incoming Trump administration seeks to repeal all kinds of regulations that Americans rely on for their safety and security, in areas such as the environment, transportation, workplace health and safety, food and drug safety, etc. Corporations obviously want such regulatory unburdening to reduce their costs and increase their profits. It’s a good bet that, as with the previous Council on Competitiveness, such corporate deregulation would be the principal function of the new “Department of Government Efficiency.” And if legislation is further required to allow companies to run amok, our Congress is about to be fully majority Republican, and no doubt will be standing by to serve their corporate overlords.

Perhaps the best we can hope for is that this new proposed government office fails to deliver due to the egos, incompetence and inattention of those in charge.

Photo by Steve Jurvetson, used under Creative Commons license. https://is.gd/xlJwF8

 

The Democrats lost the election to the Republicans — what’s next?

Kamala Harris did her best

On Tuesday night, Donald Trump defeated Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election. Republicans also won back a narrow majority in the U.S. Senate. U.S. House results are still coming in, and Republicans hold a small lead over the Democrats. Many people are in shock about the results, and are asking what went wrong for the Democrats, as well as how the party can do better going forward. There are so many possible answers, and it will take some time to sort through them and come up with new ideas. But we want to focus on one area that reflects the mission of Messaging Matters.

That area is communications and media. Specifically, we need to look at what the big corporate “mainstream media” did in this election, and how badly they served us. One obvious place to point to is the number of major newspapers, including ones that traditionally have a Democratic editorial viewpoint, that failed to endorse any candidate this time. Axios has a dramatic chart here, with an accompanying article, demonstrating how the number of such endorsements has plummeted by about 80 percent just since 2004.